Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.206810 3.560070 3.942648 4.388826 4.896220 5.456810 6.125151
2025-05-04 2.736758 3.218970 3.778399 4.479538 5.340577 6.370903 7.708273
2025-05-11 2.420406 2.969794 3.640388 4.527733 5.683831 7.156782 9.204227
2025-05-18 2.187917 2.776412 3.524640 4.559489 5.975447 7.877407 10.681568
2025-05-25 1.948117 2.539268 3.315842 4.429165 6.015121 8.241512 11.692293
2025-06-01 1.780801 2.376948 3.183214 4.377078 6.141307 8.720784 12.910406
2025-06-08 1.648599 2.247828 3.079793 4.348469 6.287542 9.231954 14.230157
2025-06-15 1.588100 2.212045 3.101514 4.499043 6.710317 10.202634 16.413148
2025-06-22 1.489325 2.111663 3.018661 4.480135 6.861808 10.752672 17.958528
2025-06-29 1.395290 2.010328 2.924812 4.432677 6.957578 11.214195 19.404236
2025-07-06 1.269118 1.851425 2.730830 4.207230 6.732930 11.098670 19.760335
2025-07-13 1.211235 1.793107 2.688204 4.223559 6.918409 11.719447 21.608483
2025-07-20 1.170841 1.760732 2.686292 4.311173 7.244026 12.645607 24.245442
2025-07-27 1.132060 1.728189 2.681490 4.393076 7.567856 13.609534 27.135163
2025-08-03 1.089531 1.686432 2.657873 4.438826 7.827794 14.479808 29.977071
2025-08-10 1.047818 1.643055 2.627931 4.469583 8.060571 15.322308 32.909632
2025-08-17 0.982493 1.556051 2.517212 4.342248 7.969095 15.476948 34.229082
2025-08-24 0.935124 1.496691 2.450519 4.291361 8.024715 15.950262 36.420001
2025-08-31 0.894982 1.447401 2.398283 4.263414 8.123746 16.529727 38.993925
2025-09-07 0.883891 1.447923 2.434964 4.410486 8.604922 18.036613 44.366759
2025-09-14 0.849559 1.405311 2.390169 4.392020 8.726732 18.720282 47.593444
2025-09-21 0.813713 1.358047 2.333844 4.345666 8.781881 19.250025 50.487068
2025-09-28 0.757133 1.270554 2.197488 4.125437 8.424972 18.718971 50.067165